New state polling data shows McCain leading in the reliably Republican states of Texas, Louisiana, Tennessee, and Kentucky. Results from Minnesota and Georgia will be released later today.
In key Senate races, Republicans Mitch McConnell (KY) and John Cornyn (TX) are leading in their re-election bids. Democrat Mary Landrieu (LA), once seen as the most vulnerable Democratic incumbent of this cycle, is also ahead. Results from other key Senate races will be released today at 3:00 p.m. Eastern.,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
Nate Silver of fivethirtyeight.com took a look at all the tracking polls published during the final weeks of this campaign. His overall assessment? “In summation, none of these tracking polls are perfect, although Rasmussen -- with its large sample size and high pollster rating -- would probably be the one I'd want with me on a desert island.”
Rasmussen Reports data indicates that Obama currently has the edge in every state won by John Kerry four years ago. However, of the states won by George Bush, McCain is trailing in four and five others are considered a toss-up. As a result, Electoral College projections now show Obama leading 260-163. When “leaners” are included, Obama leads 286-174. A total of 270 Electoral Votes are needed to win the White House.
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